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Does Age of Entrance Affect Community College Completion Probabilities? Evidence From a Discrete-Time Hazard Model

By Juan Carlos Calcagno, Peter M. Crosta, Thomas Bailey & Davis Jenkins
Research has consistently shown that older students—those who enter college for the first time at age 25 or older—are less likely to complete a degree or certificate than their younger peers. In this paper, the authors estimate a single-risk discrete-time hazard model using transcript data on a cohort of first-time community college students in Florida to compare the educational outcomes of older and traditional-age students. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the authors’ results suggest that after controlling for mathematics ability, older students enrolled in Florida community colleges had a higher conditional probability of completing a degree or certificate in the observed event period. A version of this paper appears in Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, vol. 29.

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September 2007
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May 2006

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